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HONG KONG: ECONOMY


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BACK TO HONG KONG INFORMATION: BUSINESS, TAXATION AND OFFSHORE

In this Section:

- HONG KONG THE COUNTRY AND ITS ECONOMY
- HONG KONG EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- HONG KONG
- HONG KONG SERVICES DIRECTORY
- MAP OF HONG KONG


Hong Kong Economy and Currency

Hong Kong economic success story is inextricably linked up with China, although the decisive factor forcing the transition from a trading to an industrial territory was the Korean war in 1950 and the subsequent United Nations embargo on China to which Hong Kong adhered. Hong Kong's role had historically been that of both an entrepot for trade and point of contact between China and the West. Today the territory is the crowded entry point to the Asia Pacific region and offers unique access to the fastest growing economy and the biggest potential market in the world, the People's Republic of China.

Statistics alone give an impressive view of Hong Kong economic future. Although the territory's population is 7m people it nonetheless ranks as the world's 3rd largest financial center (after New York and London) the 9th largest economy and the 11th largest exporter of services. Growth rates in the 30 years preceding the onset of the Asian economic crisis in 1997 averaged 7% culminating in GDP per capita exceeding that of Britain, Canada and Australia.

The external assets of the banking sector are the world's 5th largest, forex turnover is the world's 6th largest and the Hong Kong stock market has the largest market capitalization in Asia outside of Japan. The territory has the largest representation of international banks in the world including 80 of the top 100 institutions and is the regional headquarters of over 900 multinational companies.

Since 1992 the territory has had the world's busiest container port with throughput increases of up to 20% per annum. Its shipping register is considered a quality register and ranks 14th in the world.

The Closer Economic Partnership Arrangement (CEPA) between Hong Kong and the Chinese mainland has brought considerable benefits to both business enterprises and the Hong Kong economy as a whole, according to an Administration study on CEPA's economic impact.

The 2005 study covered trade in goods and services and the Individual Visit Scheme (IVS) and assessed the economic impact of the first phase of CEPA (CEPA I) since its introduction in January 2004.

For trade in goods, more than 90% of the responding companies considered that CEPA I was beneficial to the Hong Kong economy, and 89% considered that the trade pact had been beneficial to the manufacturing sector.

In 2004, more than 3,000 certificates of origin were issued under CEPA I, involving products with a total value of $1.15 billion, which enjoyed tariff free treatment on importation into the Mainland.

However, for trade in services, it was found that whilst 78% of the responding companies considered that CEPA I was beneficial to the Hong Kong economy, only 46% thought that it had benefited their own industries.

The study found that more than 660 companies had obtained Hong Kong Service Supplier certificates in 2004, and revealed that 27% of them had already set up operations under CEPA I in the Mainland.

Furthermore, companies in the 18 sectors covered in CEPA I increased their capital investment in Hong Kong by $1 billion in 2004 due to CEPA. The amount is expected to surge to $4.5 billion in 2005.

Meanwhile, mainland residents made 4.26 million trips to Hong Kong in 2004 under the IVS scheme, accounting for 34.8% of all the Mainland visitors or 20% of total visitors. These IVS visitors generated an additional $6.5 billion in tourist spending during the year.

Hong Kong is a major services centre for the Mainland and particularly for Guangdong, providing such supporting infrastructural facilities as ports and airport and institutional services like banking, insurance and other business services. Its role as an entrepot for the Mainland has become increasingly important over the years.

According to the results of the 2006 Annual Survey of Wholesale, Retail and Import and Export Trades, Restaurants and Hotels released today (November 29) by the Census and Statistics Department (C&SD), total receipts (i.e. sales and other receipts) of hotels and boarding houses, restaurants, import and export trade, retail trade and wholesale trade increased by 19.0%, 12.0%, 8.8%, 8.7% and 7.1% respectively in 2006 as compared with 2005. For all the above industries taken together, total receipts increased by 8.9% in 2006.

The SAR's overall fiscal situation deteriorated sharply in 2001 and 2002, with continuing deflation accompanied by very low growth, and a ballooning budget deficit, which the government had to admit in 2002 was becoming structural. Chief Executive Tung Wha-Chung ruled out the introduction of a sales tax or other new taxes in 2002 but vowed to balance the books in the course of three to five years. The SAR's budget for 2003/2004 introduced increases in personal and business taxation, cuts in public expenditure including civil service pay, and a programme of disposals of public assets. In October, 2003, Financial Secretary Henry Tang raised the government's budget deficit forecast to a record HK$100 billion (US$12.93 billion) pushing back the government's target for eliminating the deficit by two years to 2008/2009. Improvements in economic activity in late 2003 however caused PwC to say in January that the deficit might be as low as US$7bn for the year to April.

The SAR's economic performance improved rapidly in 2005, with gross domestic product rising 7.3% in the year.

In July, 2006, the Hong Kong government announced that a $14 billion surplus was recorded for the 2005-06 financial year, an improvement of $9.9 billion over the revised estimate of $4.1 billion announced in the 2006-07 Budget. Revenue for the year amounted to $247.1 billion, and spending to $233.1 billion. Revenue was $5.4 billion better than expected, largely as a result of higher collections in stamp duties, profits tax, salaries tax and land premiums towards the end of the financial year.

Meanwhile, spending was $4.5 billion lower than forecast as a result of strenuous efforts to rein in expenses and spend only where necessary.

On March 31, the fiscal reserves stood at $310.7 billion, up $14.7 billion compared with the balance of $296 billion at March 31 last year.

Hong Kong's economy expanded briskly in the 2007 second quarter, with gross domestic product accelerating to 6.9% growth in real terms over a year earlier, up from a revised 5.7% in the first quarter, according to the territory's government.

Forecast GDP growth for 2007 as a whole has been revised to 5%-6% from 4.5%-5.5%, while the forecast consumer price inflation rate stayed at 1.5%.

Government Economist Kwok Kwok-chuen told reporters on Friday that the upward revision has taken into account the better-than-expected outturn of a 6.3% GDP growth in the first half of 2007, and also the range of uncertainties prevailing in the external environment.

He stated that, barring any abrupt adverse changes in the external environment, the economy is set for further solid growth in the second half of the year.

As to the inflation outlook, Mr Kwok said higher food prices, renminbi appreciation and the recent weakness of the US dollar will continue to exert cost pressure from the external front. Nevertheless, the sustained rapid rise in labour productivity and continued expansion in productive capacity on the supply side will provide an offset, he suggested. Moreover, various one-off factors including the rates concession for two quarters, the recent public housing rental cut, and the implementation of the Pre-primary Education Voucher Scheme, will also help to keep the headline inflation at a moderate level for the rest of the year.

"With the actual outturn of consumer price inflation so far largely in line with expectations - 1.5% for the first half of 2007 - the forecast rate of increase in the Composite Consumer Price Index for 2007 as a whole is maintained at 1.5%," Mr Kwok said.

Reviewing the city's economic situation in the second quarter, Acting Principal Economist Andrew Au revealed that merchandise exports grew 11.3% in real terms. While exports to the Mainland stayed vibrant on the back of a buoyant economy, those to the European Union and Japan showed faster growth, thereby offsetting the softness of the US market. Further weakening of the US dollar also helped.

Financial services recorded a spectacular performance, while many business and professional services also held up well. Exports of services continued to show distinct growth, rising 10.9% in real terms, underpinned by the surge in offshore trade, buoyant financial market activities, and sustained expansion of inbound tourism.

Domestically, private consumption expenditure rose 6.6% in real terms in the second quarter, supported by rising income, better job prospects and improved financial positions of households. Overall investment spending picked up to a strong 11.1% growth in real terms. Investment in equipment and machinery re-accelerated to double-digit growth amid strong business confidence, while construction and building activity saw a notable rebound, albeit from a low base.

The labour market improved in the second quarter, with the seasonally adjusted jobless rate edging down to 4.2%, the lowest since mid-1998. Wages and earnings continued to rise, while job vacancies surged to a post-1997 high in March. Looking ahead, Mr Kwok observed that the global economic environment is still largely positive.

While the economy see-sawed, business interest in the SAR remained undimished. In January 2004, Government promotional agency Invest Hong Kong announced that 2003 was the department’s best year in terms of attracting investment into the city, with 142 foreign companies successfully assisted to set up or expand operations in Hong Kong during the previous 12 months, representing an increase of 21% compared to 2002. The inflow of international companies continued unabated during 2005 and 2006.

Levels of foreign direct investment (FDI) into Hong Kong have also maintained high levels, according to the ‘World Investment Report 2003’ released by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD). The territory was named again as the best-performing host economy for FDI in Asia. In monetary terms, Hong Kong attracted US$13.7 billion in FDI in 2002 holding the position as the second largest recipient of FDI in Asia, after mainland China (US$52.7 billion).

Hong Kong continues to be the largest external investor in the Mainland. Hong Kong's total external financial assets exceed US$1 trillion.

Hong Kong's Mainland investment concentrates largely in Guangdong where industrial investment, primarily outward processing arrangements, still predominates. Nevertheless, over the years, Hong Kong businessmen have extended the scope of their investment from industrial processing to other sectors such as hotels and tourist-related services, real estate, retail trade, infrastructural construction and various business and communications services.

The Government's policy is strictly non-interventionist. Subsidies and protection from competing imports are virtually non-existent. Hong Kong does not retaliate against countries that impose trade restrictions on its exports. The territory's biggest asset is its non-discriminatory low tax regime, a model fiscal system to which other jurisdictions should aspire.

During the negotiations preceding the handover of the territory in 1997 it was agreed that Hong Kong would be allowed to maintain an independent taxation system in which China would not interfere and these rights are incorporated into articles 106-8 of the Basic Law. Furthermore article 116 of the Basic Law guarantees that the territory will remain a free port and a separate customs area from the mainland.

The financial center compares very favorably with other regional financial centers such as Australia, Malaysia, Singapore and Labuan. Hong Kong does not offer the discriminatory tax breaks available through Singapore's "Operational Headquarters and Pioneer Status" corporate products, Malaysia "Free Trade Zone" facilities and Thailand "Industrial Estates" policy. Nor has it had to follow Malaysia in setting up a separate financial center in Labuan with a view to compensating for the negative impact burdensome local taxes on inward foreign investment.

With businesses and individuals paying a maximum of 17.5% and 16% tax respectively, with future decreases announced, it is not surprising that the territory has become a favorite destination for foreign investors. Unusually low tax rates are further complemented by a policy of only taxing Hong Kong source income, generous deductible allowances and above all the complete absence of withholding tax, interest tax, capital gains tax and VAT thereby making the territory the ideal location for companies engaged in financial services.

The insurance industry accounts for about 4% of GDP and employs about 50,000 people. Recent initiatives have promoted the reinsurance sector and introduced captive insurance. The insurance industry has registered double digit growth for nearly a decade. Hong Kong is also a major transshipment and re-export center, activities which in turn lead to continued strong demand for trade support services such as banking, finance and shipping. Other industries include the manufacture of garments, textiles, electronics, and toys, ship-building & repair, cement, steel rolling and the export and processing of fish and fish products.

The official currency is the Hong Kong dollar (HK$) which was pegged to the United States dollar in 2000 at a rate of US$1 = HK$ 7.7972.

The US dollar continues to be the appropriate anchor for the Hong Kong dollar for the foreseeable future and no change is needed to the Linked Exchange Rate System, a Monetary Authority study found in September, 2006.

With the renminbi not being a freely convertible currency nor a reserve currency, it is technically not possible for it to be a currency anchor, the HKMA has concluded.

In July, China's State Council said it was set to ease restrictions on the trading of the Chinese currency, the renminbi, in Hong Kong under an agreement between the Mainland and the Special Administrative Region to expand the scope of the Closer Economic Partnership Arrangement (CEPA).

Under proposals being studied by Beijing, Hong Kong importers could be allowed to settle direct import trades from the Mainland in renminbi, while financial institutions in the Mainland could issue renminbi financial bonds in Hong Kong on a pilot basis.

Additional new measures under CEPA will also cover goods and services, and enhanced cooperation on intellectual property protection.

In the services sector, 10 areas will see new liberalisation measures. They are legal services, construction, information technology, convention and exhibition, audiovisual, distribution, tourism, air transport, road transport, and individually owned stores.

Some of the moves targeting legal services include:

  • Waiving the requirement regarding the number of full-time lawyers employed by Mainland law firms that operate in association with Hong Kong law firms;
  • Waiving the residency requirement for representatives stationed in representative offices of Hong Kong law firms in the Mainland;
  • Allowing Hong Kong residents qualified for practice in the Mainland to act as agents in matrimonial and succession cases relating to Hong Kong;
  • Allowing Hong Kong barristers to act as agents in civil-litigation cases in the Mainland in the capacity of citizens; and
  • Allowing Hong Kong residents who have acquired Mainland lawyer qualifications or legal professional qualifications to undergo internships in a branch office of a Mainland law firm set up in Hong Kong.

In construction, Hong Kong service suppliers will be allowed to set up wholly-owned construction-engineering cost-consulting enterprises in the Mainland. The enterprise's performance in both Hong Kong and the Mainland will be taken into account in assessing its qualification in the Mainland.

Both sides are committed to encouraging mutual recognition of professional qualifications as part of the services rules under CEPA. Accordingly, a mutual recognition agreement between Mainland construction supervising engineers and Hong Kong building surveyors was signed on June 27 in Beijing, bringing the number of mutual-recognition agreements or arrangements under CEPA to 10.

Hong Kong travel agents will be allowed to set up wholly-owned or joint-venture operations in Guangdong Province, to apply to operate group tours to Hong Kong and Macau for residents of Guangdong Province on a pilot basis.

Hong Kong air-transport sales agencies may set up wholly-owned agencies in the Mainland. The registered capital requirement will be the same as that for Mainland enterprises.

All these measures will take effect starting from January 1, 2007, and the Mainland will work out the implementation rules.

Since January 1, the Mainland has granted all products of Hong Kong origin tariff-free treatment if applications by Hong Kong manufacturers met the CEPA rules of origin. Manufacturers may apply to include products that did not meet the agreed rules of origin in discussions that will be held twice a year.

Agreements on 37 product areas have now been worked out in the rules-of-origin discussions in the first half of the year, boosting the number of approved product areas from 1,370 to 1,407.

The 37 products include aquatic products, food and seasonings, chemical products, plastic and rubber products, and mechanical and electrical products. They will be eligible for zero tariffs starting from July 1.

Increasing intellectual property protection is another new initiative under CEPA, aimed at facilitating trade and investment. The Mainland Intellectual Property Protection Coordination Centre will be set up in Hong Kong to help in related information exchanges.

A decision in September 2006, by Moody's ratings agency to upgrade the SAR's long-term foreign currency rating from A1 to Aa3, with a positive outlook was welcomed by Hong Kong's Financial Secretary Henry Tang. Moody's also upgraded Hong Kong's foreign-currency bank deposit ceiling from A1 to Aa3, with a positive outlook.

Mr Tang suggested that the decisions show international recognition of Hong Kong's improved public finances and growth prospects.

"Hong Kong has now achieved AA-category ratings by all major international credit rating agencies. The latest ratings are also the highest that have ever been assigned to Hong Kong. The Moody's upgrade is a major breakthrough as it has allowed Hong Kong's rating to rise above that of the Mainland by more than one notch," he noted.

Moody's attributed the upgrade to Hong Kong's strong financial position and large positive international investment position, showing that Hong Kong has a degree of resilience to any potential shocks emanating from the Mainland.

The ratings agency further argued that the large foreign assets held by Hong Kong residents could help Hong Kong weather potential economic or financial shocks.

It added that the upgrade was prompted by its belief that the foreign currency bond rating should be in line with the local one.

In July, 2007, Fitch upgraded Hong Kong's long-term foreign-currency sovereign rating to "AA" from "AA-", with a "stable" outlook.

Fitch attributed the upgrade to Hong Kong's strong external financial position, improving public finances, high level of fiscal reserves and credible linked exchange-rate system.

Fitch also recognised that the jurisdiction's self-determined exchange rate regime was an important manifestation of Hong Kong's economic and financial-policy autonomy.

In addition, based on the established 10-year track record of political interaction between Hong Kong and the Mainland, Fitch accepted that many potential political risks identified in the early years of Chinese sovereignty over Hong Kong could be set aside.

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Hong Kong Import of Foreign Capital

There are no exchange controls in Hong Kong.

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Hong Kong Investments by Foreigners

Hong Kong spectacular economic success is largely based on a whole-hearted adherence to free and open trade, the values encompassed in a British common law legal system and a laissez faire non interventionist attitude on the part of Government. As such there are few if any significant barriers to investment by foreigners. There are no restrictions regarding ownership of real estate by foreigners in Hong Kong but it should be noted that all land is owned by the Government so that only leasehold estates are available with most land comprising 75 year renewable leases and a few areas comprising 999 year leases.

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