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04 April 2009
A New Economic Order
By: Rodrigo Julio Molina Ortega
Tips to deal with the world economic crisis
The crisis began in the United States with foreclosures. For many years, the
value of properties had been rising steadily. During this bonanza, requirements
for credit loans were relaxed. In order for banks to lend more, they pooled
together or combined mortgage loans with financial instruments called mortgaged-backed
bonds. These were sold in the financial markets to other banks, pension funds,
insurance companies and investors.
The problem surfaced when property prices ceased to go up and, in some cases,
started to drop. When the value of properties went down, many people realized
that they owed more money to the bank than the value of their property and,
therefore, stopped paying their mortgages. The owners of these debts panicked
and started to sell their bonds, which caused a stampede of bond sales.
These famous bonds are bought and sold as any other product (tomatoes, homes,
cars). Even when backed by mortgages, the law of supply and demand rules over
the value of these bonds, and since supply exceeded demand, their value plummeted.
Now then, the owners of these bonds are obliged to match the value of these
bonds in their accounting records to their value in the market. Having purchased
them at 100 dollars and having to set a much lower value, the difference translates
into a loss that has to be reflected in the profit and loss statement.
The problem grew so much out of proportion that it started to affect the banks
that did not have these Bonds. The growing uncertainty as to the outcome of
the crisis has made banks raise the cost of loans among themselves. They have
lost confidence in each other and have therefore stopped loaning money to each
other. As a result, other financial institutions have gone bankrupt, infected
by the initial problem.
Mistrust rules at world level. As the saying goes “fear makes the wolf
bigger than he is”. And as in many countries faced with any kind of crisis,
the “just in case” position can blow any crisis out of proportion.
This is basically what is happening. The fear of many investors is making the
crisis spread like a global virus.
Governments all over the world are taking action to halt the economic downturn
and to reassure people as well as companies. First and foremost, the main concern
is to reassure people that their savings are safe in case their bank files for
bankruptcy. World governments are reassuring people by guaranteeing bank deposits
or, as in other countries, by increasing the amount of the insurance on bank
deposits (US$250,000.00). This is done to prevent people like us from withdrawing
all of their money from the bank and keeping it under the mattress!
WHAT CAN WE DO?
1. Protect your job. This not only implies having the right attitude when going
to work but also ensuring the company’s continuity. Be more efficient,
don’t waste time surfing on the net. Strive for excellence.
2. Cut back on personal expenses. It is important to review your personal expenditures.
Keep it simple and be frugal. Try not to spend on things you really don’t
need.
3. Save as much as possible. This has become even more important due to the
uncertainty we are currently experiencing.
4. Keep your money in the bank. Keeping your money under the mattress, with
a friend or in some savings bank does not afford any guarantees.
Reduce your debts as much as possible, especially those having a variable interest
rate. I’m referring to personal credit cards. Interest rates are going
to increase.
The faster you can pay off these credit cards and personal debts, the better.
Interest rates will go up. Don’t pay the minimum shown in your statement.
Review the interest rates that you are paying on your debts
Understand the difference between using a credit card and becoming indebted
with a credit card. The first case entails using the credit card and paying
off the balance at the end of the month. The second case consists in using the
credit given by the bank or the store. There is no cost involved in the first
case, whereas the second case involves the payment of interest.
Credit card and store cards are a huge temptation. Don’t take out any
new ones and, if possible, pay off some of them. You will be able to take out
new ones in the future.
The contrary is true for mortgages at fixed rates. At this time it is better
not to make any advanced or higher payments, but to save the money.
DO pay your house on time. This is your most important asset.
DON’T give into those “no-interest months” promotions. I
worry about this form of marketing used by many stores to sell more. People
don’t “feel” the bill immediately so they are more inclined
to buy.
The only way not to have to pay interest is by paying off the balance shown
in your credit card statement each month. Few people do this and banks make
a lot of money this way. If you don’t realize that buying items this way
is equal to having the amount of the monthly fee taken out of your salary during
those months, it will cost you interest.
Be careful about lending to other people. It is quite common for friends or
relatives to ask you to loan them money. If they do, ask for some kind of warranty.
This person could be drowning and could take you down with him/her if you are
not careful.
Stay Healthy. Getting sick costs money. Go on a diet, lose weight, exercise,
lower cigarette and alcohol consumption.
Talk to your family about this. It is important for your spouse and your children
to understand this.
In our companies, we ALL need to do the following:
Take care of clients. We need to focus on good service and that goes from
good customer care to taking care of their money (save them unnecessary storage,
take care of merchandise, be sure to return any balance in their favor, etc.)
Collect money faster. Payroll is paid from what is collected.
Finance less. Those of us who have commitments and obligations can’t
afford not to meet them, but let’s try not to contract new ones for
now.
Reduce expenses as much as possible:
Telephone, power, stationery
Trips
Study thoroughly any investment.
Protect the company’s assets (cars, photocopy machines, computers,
etc.)
Sell more. Let’s invest in acquiring new clients and in selling more
to those we have already.
Conclusions
It is uncertain how long the world crisis will last. What is important is to
first understand why it happened and then to learn the lesson. Also, don’t
allow scaremongers to affect you and your decisions, be they journalists or
people close to you.
We need to take steps, both personally and company wise, to preserve and guarantee
the continuity of our source of income.
If the American government is going to buy all the toxic assets from banks,
one must logically infer that Panamanian realtors must be wise enough and lower
the square meter of all empty apartments in order to sell them as quickly as
possible and not be affected by the position assumed by the G20. Jurisdictions
that have committed to the internationally agreed taxstandard, but not yet substantially
implemented (grey)
Martinelli: “We must make it very clear to the G20 that we are not a
tax haven. Presidential candidate Ricardo Martinelli said yesterday during a
trip to Veraguas that Panama must set the record straight at the G20 Summit
of April 2nd in London and insist that this is No fiscal paradise. He affirmed
that the government and entrepreneurial associations agreed to send a message
rejecting Panama’s inclusion in that list, which could be detrimental
to our economy. As an example of the controls that currently exist, he said:
“Bank formalities to open a savings account are never-ending”.
You have been
reading an entry on the following blog:
Rodrigo Julio Molina Ortega, Esq.
Offshore services providers and an international law firm MOLINA & CO is well known for its practical, creative and cost-effective approach to legal and financial challenges
Email: rjm@moliasoc.com
www.panamaoffshorecenter.com
Other recent
entries in this blog:
20 February 2008 Panama Today, Tomorrow And Always This Christmas season 2007 everyone is asking: What is happening in Panama?
Every single hotel, whether in the city, at the beach or up in the mountains,
is full. The malls and streets are throbbing with tourists from the whole world,
in a shopping, business and holiday frenzy. Workers from hundreds of construction
sites emerge at 3 o’ clock, invading streets, squares and stores with
their lunch boxes and backpacks as they make their way home. Cranes scattered
everywhere are becoming part of the scenery. All the restaurants are full to
capacity and long lines await customers trying to get a table. The streets are
congested with cars, newly acquired for the most part. Sprawling and modern
shopping centers boasting fabulous designs bedazzle both foreigners and locals.
We have already surpassed the 1 Million threshold in terms of tourists coming
into our country every year, mainly through the newly refurbished and enlarged
Tocumen International Airport. The Canal expansion projects are underway, generating
many direct and indirect jobs, with good wages. The Atlantic and Pacific ports
see millions of containers every year and have become the largest in Latin America.
The banking center is steadily growing and many banks from different countries
have opened for business in the last few months.
Residential tourism, especially the US retiree kind, has grown in the last
years and constitutes an important aspect in the country’s economic growth.
The Colon Free Zone, which generates huge earnings and plenty of jobs, is at
its best, showing incredible figures for import and export ventures to and from
many countries of the globe, especially Asia, the United States, Europe and
Latin America.
Amazing public works are underway:
The Panama-Colon freeway
The Biodiversity Museum
The coastal belt and new public roads
The Panama Bay clean-up project
Economic growth has been gradually achieved since the Canal and Canal Zone
handover. The Panama Canal administration has yielded important earnings for
the National Treasury, thanks to toll fees, which have also increased precisely
to the benefit of the rightful owners of the waterway. In seven years of Panamanian
administration, the Canal has generated more revenue in terms of taxes than
what was produced during the eighty-five (85) years of American administration.
Significant progress is being made in the field of non-traditional produce
exports, such as melons, watermelons, pineapples, fish and medicinal plants.
This is a positive overview, albeit very abridged, of present-day Panama. Following
I will try to reminisce the Panama of yesterday.
During the thirties, poverty was global due to the world financial crisis.
The so-called Canal Zone was an oasis of wealth because the overwhelming majority
of canal and defense workers earned wages higher than those earned in the rest
of the country. These workers bought their food, clothing, shoes and other items
in Canal Zone stores, in direct and illegal competition with homeland trade.
Smuggling goods from the Canal Zone was a common thing and was tolerated by
both national and US authorities. In December 1941, the Second World War broke
out and lasted four years, ending in 1945. During the armed conflict, the US
Empire dotted the landscape with military bases, making use of the right that
the 1903 pernicious treaty gave them to do so. The Panamanian workers and artisans
for the construction and functioning of so many bases not being nearly sufficient,
foreign laborers, chiefly from Central America, had to be imported. The streets
were teeming with soldiers and marines going in and out of bars that back then,
just as today, thrived in the capital city. Thousands of soldiers were posted
in the military bases; others disembarked their ships or planes, in transit
towards the European and Pacific fronts. The city swarmed with men and women,
soldiers and civilians, of all ethnic groups and nationalities, the nation’s
secular cosmopolitanism, which was boosted by the state of war of that time.
Many were the verbal and physical abuses committed by soldiers against Panamanian
citizens, especially women, in spite of the presence of the Military Police
that patrolled every street. Fights would break out very often between Americans
and locals, which brought to mind episodes, such as the watermelon slice incident
in 1856, when Panama was the route chosen by American adventurers coming from
New England to cross the isthmus by railway towards California, attracted by
the Gold Rush.
During the Second World War years, Panama’s performance was probably
null. Many people from the countryside moved to the capital, attracted by the
jobs available in the military bases and other works carried out by the American
Armed Forces, such as the Transisthmian highway and other roads within the Canal
Zone. Dollars showered upon the capital and sprinkled the interior as well.
The soldiers and a good amount of the local population were so fond of gambling
that the National Lottery doubled and even tripled the emission of bills. Back
then, just as today, people spoke of the great business boom and the abundance
of money circulating in the country.
All of this bonanza could be explained due to the millions of Dollars that the
United States spent in our country during the war. But one must remember that
workers did not pay any taxes in Panama and that they bought their food and
all their household items in Canal Zone stores. And on top of it all, income
arising from taxes levied on Canal activities did not reach one Million dollars
per year. Outrageous abuse from the occupying country!
When the war ended in 1945, the United States negotiated the Filos-Hines Agreement,
whereby the Panamanian state granted the United States the right to maintain
one hundred and thirty military bases in the Republic of Panama. The National
Assembly did not ratify this agreement due to the opposition of the Panamanian
people, who demonstrated massively and forcefully against such ratification.
The students of the University of Panama, founded in 1935 by Octavio Méndez
Pereira, led a huge demonstration that spilled over the French Plaza, demanding
that assemblymen reject the agreement. Once the military bases were vacated,
many Panamanians lost their jobs and many apartments that had been rented out
to American soldiers and technical support personnel in the cities of Panama
and Colon were left unoccupied. This economic situation was temporary, since
the war in Korea and Vietnam brought back military personnel to the colonial
enclave and the Canal terminal cities. Around 1949 the Colon Exterior Free Trade
Zone commenced operations, which has steadily grown until this day, holding
a key position in the nation’s economy. In May 1951, the School of Medicine
opened for classes in the grounds of our sole university, a transcendental event
in the history of Panamanian education and public health system. This school
has seen many a student from underprivileged groups graduate as doctors and
lead the health teams required “to redeem our race”, as stated by
its founder, professor Octavio Méndez Pereira.
When the new Canal treaties that were subscribed in 1977 came into force, the
Railroad was handed over, and the ports and some canal zone areas were reintegrated
into the national patrimony. We have seen how the ports, the railroad, as well
as the power and telecommunication services have been privatized. We have also
witnessed the wonderful development of the Amador area and the big success of
the City of Knowledge, which houses important national and international organizations.
I have but outlined some of the facts of the Panama of today, threading ideas
from the Panama of yesterday. These are my personal observations and follow
no historical rigor. Following I will try to expand on the expression: the Panama
of Always. Since the appearance of the Isthmus of Panama three million years
ago, it has always served as a communicating bridge between Central and South
America, and between the Atlantic and the Pacific oceans. Through this land
and air bridge numerous species of plants, mammals, insects, plants and other
biological organisms have passed, including man. The waters of both oceans are
home to hundreds of species of fish, whales, shell fish, turtles and other sea
creatures that prefer our warm waters to mate and reproduce. Our extensive mangrove
and solitary beaches represent an important ecological atmosphere for the cycle
of life of numerous species.
Interoceanic communication is possible today by land and train, but ever since
Balboa traversed the isthmus and discovered the Pacific Ocean in 1513, communication
is chiefly made by land. Let’s remember the Camino de Cruces and the Camino
Real, which linked the city of Panama to Chagres, Portobelo and Nombre de Dios.
Witnesses to the history of these terminal ports are the Puente del Rey in Panama
Viejo, the ruins of San Lorenzo in Chagres and the old Customs House in Portobelo
The Panama of always is that which has been forever globalized and cosmopolitan,
with cyclic and transit-based economy.
We could visualize the economic activity and the hubbub that reigned in the
city when the conquest of Peru was being planned?
We could visualize in our minds the commotion and activity when those great
shipments of gold and other treasures from South America transited through the
isthmus and to then leave Panama and Portobelo? And what about the trade and
military activity conducted by the Spanish empire in the isthmus of Panama?
The world-known Portobelo Fairs, which paved the way for the Panama International
Commercial Exhibit, saw commercial exchanges that generated enormous wealth.
These riches sparked the greed of pirates, who sacked the ports of Panama and
Portobelo.
And what about the Panama Railroad construction years, completed in 1855, where
hundreds of workers toiled so that thousands of Americans could use it to reach
California?
Between 1904 and 1914, the fabulous feat of building of the Panama Canal took
place, and this period marked for ever the historical destiny of the isthmus
of Panama.
The globalization of the world economy, the fantastic technological progress
in the communications and information technology fields, total sovereignty in
the entire Panamanian territory, juridical security, the efficient administration
of our Canal, which is now undergoing expansion works, the development of shopping,
ecological, health and cultural tourism, and the improvement of education and
health indicators, are all factors that will certainly contribute to maintain
and consolidate the Panama of today, with solid projections towards a bright
future, for the benefit, well-being and joy of all those who live on Panamanian
soil.
Rodrigo Julio Molina Ortega, Esq.
Offshore services providers and an international law firm MOLINA & CO is
well known for its practical, creative and cost-effective approach to legal
and financial challenges
Email: rjm@moliasoc.com
www.panamaoffshorecenter.com